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Industrial Securities' investment strategy for the construction industry in 2025: internal and external resonance, optimistic about debt conversion and the "Belt and Road" industry, Industrial Securities Research Report said that the construction industry will face certain pressure in 2024, and it is expected that infrastructure investment will remain high in 2025, driven by the debt conversion policy. Review and prospect of plate market: central state-owned enterprises and design plates led the gains, with obvious excess returns. Main line 1: Debt conversion is expected to drive the improvement of the management quality of construction central enterprises. 1) The driving force and mode of action of this debt conversion can be compared with the "Belt and Road" market in 2014 and the PPP market in 2016, and the policy is driven from top to bottom. 2) The institutions' positions in construction central enterprises are low, and the valuation of construction central enterprises is also in the lower position of the historical center. 3) The unprecedented intensity of debt conversion will help the central enterprises to realize the double promotion of EPS and PE. Main Line 2: The Belt and Road Initiative is expected to accelerate and benefit international engineering enterprises. The "Belt and Road" market has accelerated its expansion, and international engineering enterprises are expected to accelerate their going out to sea, and their performance and valuation have both improved.Under the interest rate cut cycle, the scale of domestic dollar wealth management doubled compared with the same period of last year. Although the Fed's expectation of continuing to cut interest rates is strong, the ability of domestic dollar wealth management products to "absorb gold" is still strong. Straight flush data shows that since January 2024, there are 756 newly established wealth management products with the word "USD". Among them, 30 new wealth management products with the word "USD" have been established since November, and most of them are fixed-income products. As of December 9, the scale of US dollar financial management reached 282 billion yuan, which has doubled compared with the scale of 140.4 billion yuan in December last year. Market analysts believe that although the Fed has entered the interest rate cut cycle, under the influence of many complicated factors, the US dollar still has support, and the attractiveness of US dollar wealth management products to investors is still there in the short term. However, investors also need to pay attention to market risk and exchange rate fluctuation risk, and rationally allocate related assets. (21st century business herald)Syrian Human Rights Watch: Israel continues to air strike Syrian military facilities. On the 12th local time, Syrian Human Rights Watch said that Israeli warplanes continued to launch air strikes against military facilities in Syria, including military sites in Latakia port and arsenals in Tartus province. According to the organization, this is the fourth consecutive day that Israeli warplanes launched an air strike on the Syrian arsenal after the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad's government.

High-word-of-mouth movies rush to the box office at the end of the year. The Spring Festival file in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. According to the data of Lighthouse Professional Edition, as of December 11 (17: 40), the cumulative box office of 20 movies in 2024 has reached 1.119 billion yuan. Among them, "Good Things" has a box office of 569 million yuan and a douban score of 9.1, which leads both word-of-mouth and box office. In addition, this week's three potential new films, Broken Hell, Misjudgment and Lion Boy 2, have been screened and entered the box office sprint at the end of the year. It is also known that four films, Nezha's Devil Children Roaring the Sea, The Legend of the Condor Heroes: The Great Man, The Fortunes of the Gods Part II: The War in the West, The Bear Appears and Restarts the Future, have been confirmed to be scheduled for the Spring Festival in 2025. The "National Film Consumption Season for the benefit of the people" launched by the State Film Bureau on December 9 will last from December 2024 to February 2025, and a total of not less than 600 million yuan will be invested in movie viewing subsidies, covering the Lunar New Year and Spring Festival files, which will help promote the market's enthusiasm for watching movies. Huatai Securities released a research report saying that the box office of the Spring Festival in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. In 2025, the supply and demand sides of the film market are expected to improve, or will push the fundamental inflection point of the cinema line plate upward. (Securities Daily)All localities have actively deployed resources to further support mergers and acquisitions and guide them to gather in a "new" way. Since this year, there have been frequent policies to support mergers and acquisitions of enterprises, such as Eight Measures on Deepening science and technology innovation board's Reform, Serving Technological Innovation and Developing New Productivity, and Opinions on Deepening Market Reform of Mergers and Acquisitions of Listed Companies. At the same time, various localities have successively issued relevant rules or carried out special activities, so that mergers and acquisitions of enterprises have a direction and confidence. According to the reporter, up to now, Shanghai, Jiangxi, Sichuan, Shenzhen, Tianjin and other places have issued relevant documents to support enterprises to carry out mergers and acquisitions; Shanxi, Beijing, Hubei, Hunan, Qingdao and other places "answer questions" for enterprises' mergers and acquisitions through forums or training meetings. According to Tian Lihui, dean of the Institute of Financial Development of Nankai University, there are three major trends in local support policies. First, the logic of industrial synergy is constantly strengthening; Second, continue to improve the efficiency of M&A services and regulatory inclusiveness; The third is to persist in strengthening risk prevention. Generally speaking, with the support of policies, a number of high-quality industrial M&A cases are expected to land. Driven by multiple favorable factors, the M&A market is becoming more and more active. (Securities Daily)Spot platinum just broke through the $940.00/oz mark, and the latest price was $940.90/oz, up 0.58% in the day; The main force of Nymex platinum futures recently reported $951.9 per ounce, up 0.12% in the day.

South Korean President Yin Xiyue made a public speech: I will fight with the public until the last moment.The yield of 10-year Japanese government bonds rose by 1 basis point to 1.075%.Under the interest rate cut cycle, the scale of domestic dollar wealth management doubled compared with the same period of last year. Although the Fed's expectation of continuing to cut interest rates is strong, the ability of domestic dollar wealth management products to "absorb gold" is still strong. Straight flush data shows that since January 2024, there are 756 newly established wealth management products with the word "USD". Among them, 30 new wealth management products with the word "USD" have been established since November, and most of them are fixed-income products. As of December 9, the scale of US dollar financial management reached 282 billion yuan, which has doubled compared with the scale of 140.4 billion yuan in December last year. Market analysts believe that although the Fed has entered the interest rate cut cycle, under the influence of many complicated factors, the US dollar still has support, and the attractiveness of US dollar wealth management products to investors is still there in the short term. However, investors also need to pay attention to market risk and exchange rate fluctuation risk, and rationally allocate related assets. (21st century business herald)